Substantiation of models for forecasting the regional social and economic rural development

Main Article Content

Andrii Sava
Vitalii Biskup
Inna Petruk
Nataliia Pokotylska
Pavlina Fuhelo
صندلی اداری

Abstract

The areas of application of mathematical and statistical methods for determining the prognostic model of rural development on the example of all Ukraine taking into account the economic, social and environmental component are explored in this article. Econometric modelling is the basis of the research methodology in this work. As a tool for analysis, a specific system of evaluation of selected indicators and their correlation and regression processing is applied. The results showed that the most influential factors for the level of development of rural territories of Ukraine are ten among the 60 indicators, grouped by the three components. They characterize the economic, social and environmental component and determine some impact on the functioning of the country's territorial system as a whole. The mathematical expression of the prognostic model of rural development is established using the regression analysis. A set of measures for regulation of rural development is developed on the basis of these results, which envisages the implementation of measures in the areas of software, normative and legal support. It is expected that this study will help public authorities make more effective decisions on addressing key issues of social and economic processes in rural areas of individual regions, Ukraine as a whole and other countries.

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Section
Integration System of Education, Science and Production
Author Biographies

Andrii Sava, Ternopil State Agricultural Experimental Station of Institute of Feed Research and Agriculture of Podillya of NAAS

Доктор экономических наук

Заместитель директора

Vitalii Biskup, Ternopil National Economic University

Кандидат технических наук, старший преподаватель, работает на кафедре психологии и социальной работы Тернопольского национального экономического университета.
Преподает дисциплины: социология и психология, система организации социальных услуг.
 Научные интересы социальная профилактика, социология молодежи, социология карьеры.

Inna Petruk, Ternopil National Economic University

Аспирант

Nataliia Pokotylska, State Agrarian and Engineering University in Podilya

Доцент  кафедры менеджмента, государственного управления и администрации ,
кандидат экономических наук , доцент кафедры менеджмента, государственного управления и управления Государственный аграрно-технический университет на Подолье.

Преподает дисциплины по дисциплинам «Менеджмент и администрирование», «Административный менеджмент» и «Экономика и организация инновационной деятельности».
Имеет практический опыт руководителя на предприятии «Менеджмент и администрирование».
Научные интересы: управление и администрация; Экономика и организация инновационной деятельности; Инновационный менеджмент; Государственное управление и администрация.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3163-2900

 

Pavlina Fuhelo, State Agrarian and Engineering University in Podilya

Кандидат наук. Кандидат экономических наук, доцент работает на кафедре финансов, банковских и электронных платежных систем Государственный аграрно-технический университет на Подолье.
Преподает дисциплины, преподаваемые ″ Финансовый контроль ″, ″ Государственный финансовый контроль ″, ″ Управление бюджететом ″.
Научные интересы: государственное регулирование финансово-хозяйственной деятельности; аудит в системе государственного финансового контроля, анализ 


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